WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation
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WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation
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Curated by Farid Mheir
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Elon Musk interview by MIT professor sheds light into how advanced Tesla Autopilot is to deliver self driving experience - he predicts end of 2019 or 2020 at the latest #ArtificialIntelligence #AI ...

This conversation happened after the release of the paper from our group at MIT on driver functional vigilance during use of Tesla's Autopilot. The Tesla team reached out to me offering a podcast conversation with Mr Musk. I accepted, with full control of questions I could ask and choice of what is released publicly. I ended up editing out nothing of substance. This was an insightful discussion on various aspects of Tesla Autopilot that I hope catalyzes further nuanced conversation on the future of AI-assisted driving. Starts at 2:35. The full outline of the video is as follows:
0:00 Introduction
2:35 Start of conversation: Autopilot motivation
4:01 Display the vehicle's perception of the driving scene
7:11 Algorithms, data, and hardware development
10:23 Edge cases and common cases in driving
12:18 Navigate on Autopilot
13:57 Hardware and software path toward fully autonomy
17:08 Driver supervision of Autopilot
20:13 Human side of Tesla Autopilot (driver functional vigilance)
23:13 Driver monitoring
24:30 Operational design domain
26:57 Securing Autopilot against adversarial machine learning
28:29 Narrow AI and artificial general intelligence
30:10 Physics view of love
31:53 First question for an artificial general intelligence system

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: this is a very geeky interview with Elon Musk on autopilot and the future of self-driving cars. Thoughtful, structured and informative it brings to light a very strong point: the value of a car lies in its capacity to self drive and every Tesla has this feature already builtin. Basically it means that cars will soon cross the threshold of autonomy, opening a whole new era for personal transportation. But more importantly I believe for businesses that rely on delivery logistics: ecommerce of course but also groceries, medical supplies, etc.

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Let's put #AI in perspective and consider how long it will take for AI to Exceed Human Performance - expert predictions vary widely & yet the impact within 10 to 25 years (our lifetime for sure) ar...

Let's put #AI in perspective and consider how long it will take for AI to Exceed Human Performance - expert predictions vary widely & yet the impact within 10 to 25 years (our lifetime for sure) ar... | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

The experts predict that AI will outperform humans in the next 10 years in tasks such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high school essays (by 2026), and driving trucks (by 2027).
But many other tasks will take much longer for machines to master. AI won’t be better than humans at working in retail until 2031, able to write a bestselling book until 2049, or capable of working as a surgeon until 2053.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: we hear too much about AI with many experts fighting hard to make the difference between AI, machine learning and deep learning. My summary is that AI is a long way in the future but that machine learning impacts will be well within my lifetime - 10 to 25 years from now. This is what I prepare my customers for in my strategic plans.

Taskiy's comment, February 23, 2019 1:46 AM
http://sco.lt/5lWzx2
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On the way to self-driving cars: Phantom Auto Demonstrates First Remote-Controlled Car on Public Roads #CES2018

On the way to self-driving cars: Phantom Auto Demonstrates First Remote-Controlled Car on Public Roads #CES2018 | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

A remote pilot drives a Lincoln MKZ past Vegas casinos from his desk in Mountain View. Phantom currently has five control systems set up in Mountain View. At each system, one human could oversee perhaps five automated vehicles. Training on the system takes about a week, starting with simulated driving, then teleoperation on a closed course before the driver passes a test to drive a car on public roads.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: self-driving cars are possible but some time in the future. This is because they need to be completely autonomous in all situations, something very difficult with the current state of AI technology. However, cars equipped with sensors and cameras and telecommunication can allow remote operators to drive them - they do it for drones already and for heavy machinery in mines. This article explains how a new startup does it. Interesting to grasp just how complex the whole thing is. Moreover, self-driving vehicles appear to be doing the same to get their self-driving cars out of complex situations the AI cannot deal with. 

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Under the Hood of a Self-Driving Taxi @Voyage

Under the Hood of a Self-Driving Taxi @Voyage | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

To give a car the ability to Sense, Plan & Act (SPA) requires a complex system of hardware and software, all of which works together in (hopeful) harmony to form a self-driving car.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: a glimpse behind the hardware that is required to power a self-driving car. Of course it comes from the folks that initially worked for an online school (Udemy) that was started by Google self-driving genius Thurun.

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Where Driverless Cars Brake for Golf Carts: watch for #selfDrivingCars in gated communities

Where Driverless Cars Brake for Golf Carts: watch for #selfDrivingCars in gated communities | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

The start-up Voyage is testing its self-driving taxi service in a gated community of about 4,000 residents where the average age is 76. There's another benefit to testing in a retirement community: It's private property. That means Voyage doesn't have to share ride information with state regulators, freeing it from some bureaucracy. But testing in the community meant different obstacles, like insurers requiring Voyage to have double California's $5 million in coverage funds and to hand over all driving data. To reassure the retirement community, Voyage gave them as much equity as they give to a new hire. That aside, retirees have a lot to gain from self-driving cars. Losing the ability to drive often cuts folks off from the outside world, so it's interesting to see Voyage explore where other self-driving leaders haven't been yet.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: it makes perfect sense when you think about it: deploy self-driving cars on private property instead of on the open road. Here, the use case is a retirement community. Next I assume it may be on a vacation resort (think self-driving golf carts) or a remote wilderness fishing property (more self driving all-terrain trucks). And why are businesses with large properties not deploying self-driving vehicles? Oops not true they are: Codelco has 4 fully autonomous copper mines in Chile!. Take a few minutes to watch he Voyage experiment video: https://news.voyage.auto/voyages-first-self-driving-car-deployment-29c7688c6a1 or more on mining automation http://sco.lt/4qCRLV 

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Tesla brings self-driving hardware to its entire fleet: see the #video for a glimpse into the future of "driving"

Tesla brings self-driving hardware to its entire fleet: see the #video for a glimpse into the future of "driving" | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

Tesla announced that beginning today, all the cars it builds will have the necessary hardware to drive completely on their own if the owner decides they want to enable the option. The full self-driving hardware suite will cost an additional $8,000.

Farid Mheir's insight:

1- First, look at the video at the end of the article.

 

2- Then, read the article to understand what Tesla is doing

 

3- Then, listen to this other video to understand that self-driving will be part of every new Tesla vehicle but will operate in "shadow mode".

https://www.wired.com/video/2016/10/nasa-s-pumpkin-carving-contest/ 

New Teslas will be self-driving and comparing their driving to what the human drivers did (and presumably learning from them). They will collect huge amounts of data, which will demonstrate that self-driving is safer than human driving.

 

4- Then, dive into this more complete description of the technology. 

https://www.wired.com/2016/10/teslas-self-driving-car-plan-seems-insane-just-might-work/ 

 

5- Then, look into this video of a self-driving delivery 18-wheeler that drove 200 miles without human intervention.

https://www.wired.com/2016/10/ubers-self-driving-truck-makes-first-delivery-50000-beers/

 

6- Realize this is not fiction but 2016 reality.

 

WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT

Self driving must find its way into every major corporation strategic plan. It will impact how retailers receive their products from factories and distribution centers. It will make eCommerce easier with lower cost delivery (which still accounts for 15 to 25% of the online total) and will enable same-day delivery. It will transform travel between large cities, and school bus for our kids. It will change the way ships carry their loads.

Self-driving will create a shockwave in human resources department and unions, which will fear the replacement of human drivers by machines. It will require appropriate communication, retraining, and investments to ensure a smooth transition into the new reality.

Don't worry this will not affect your 2017 bottom line. It won't even affect 2020's bottom line. So if you manage with a short term vision, life is good, stay the course, and forget everything I just said.

 

Others, call me!

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Curated by Farid Mheir
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