WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation
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WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation
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Curated by Farid Mheir
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Elon Musk interview by MIT professor sheds light into how advanced Tesla Autopilot is to deliver self driving experience - he predicts end of 2019 or 2020 at the latest #ArtificialIntelligence #AI ...

This conversation happened after the release of the paper from our group at MIT on driver functional vigilance during use of Tesla's Autopilot. The Tesla team reached out to me offering a podcast conversation with Mr Musk. I accepted, with full control of questions I could ask and choice of what is released publicly. I ended up editing out nothing of substance. This was an insightful discussion on various aspects of Tesla Autopilot that I hope catalyzes further nuanced conversation on the future of AI-assisted driving. Starts at 2:35. The full outline of the video is as follows:
0:00 Introduction
2:35 Start of conversation: Autopilot motivation
4:01 Display the vehicle's perception of the driving scene
7:11 Algorithms, data, and hardware development
10:23 Edge cases and common cases in driving
12:18 Navigate on Autopilot
13:57 Hardware and software path toward fully autonomy
17:08 Driver supervision of Autopilot
20:13 Human side of Tesla Autopilot (driver functional vigilance)
23:13 Driver monitoring
24:30 Operational design domain
26:57 Securing Autopilot against adversarial machine learning
28:29 Narrow AI and artificial general intelligence
30:10 Physics view of love
31:53 First question for an artificial general intelligence system

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: this is a very geeky interview with Elon Musk on autopilot and the future of self-driving cars. Thoughtful, structured and informative it brings to light a very strong point: the value of a car lies in its capacity to self drive and every Tesla has this feature already builtin. Basically it means that cars will soon cross the threshold of autonomy, opening a whole new era for personal transportation. But more importantly I believe for businesses that rely on delivery logistics: ecommerce of course but also groceries, medical supplies, etc.

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How CPG Supply Chains Are Preparing for Seismic Change: their bear most of the shipping costs and suffer from digital channel proliferation #CPG #DigitalTransformation #SupplyChain via @BCG

How CPG Supply Chains Are Preparing for Seismic Change: their bear most of the shipping costs and suffer from digital channel proliferation #CPG #DigitalTransformation #SupplyChain via @BCG | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

Service performance has improved recently for most CPG companies. But getting goods from plant to shelf involves more hurdles and more complexity than ever before.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: consumer package goods companies (CPGs) are being hit by digital transformation as we disintermediate the retailers with direct delivery (drop shipping), online distribution and the need to continue to serve traditional retailers with warehouses and stores. Moreover, beyond the supply chain, CPGs have a increased need to know their customer, something that is often difficult to do with retailers blocking access to valuable data. This survey by BCG provides useful categorization of the impact to CPGs, along with some %

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Let's put #AI in perspective and consider how long it will take for AI to Exceed Human Performance - expert predictions vary widely & yet the impact within 10 to 25 years (our lifetime for sure) ar...

Let's put #AI in perspective and consider how long it will take for AI to Exceed Human Performance - expert predictions vary widely & yet the impact within 10 to 25 years (our lifetime for sure) ar... | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

The experts predict that AI will outperform humans in the next 10 years in tasks such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high school essays (by 2026), and driving trucks (by 2027).
But many other tasks will take much longer for machines to master. AI won’t be better than humans at working in retail until 2031, able to write a bestselling book until 2049, or capable of working as a surgeon until 2053.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: we hear too much about AI with many experts fighting hard to make the difference between AI, machine learning and deep learning. My summary is that AI is a long way in the future but that machine learning impacts will be well within my lifetime - 10 to 25 years from now. This is what I prepare my customers for in my strategic plans.

Taskiy's comment, February 23, 2019 1:46 AM
http://sco.lt/5lWzx2
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Phoenix will no longer be Phoenix if Waymo’s driverless-car experiment succeeds

Phoenix will no longer be Phoenix if Waymo’s driverless-car experiment succeeds | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

Experimental Design imagines another scenario: neighborhoods eliminate the growing stream of delivery vehicles by organizing central locations or deploying a kind of package delivery van that comes around once or twice a day like an ice-cream truck. Neighbors might gather around the day’s influx of retail goods and exchange news, transforming the hermetic life behind closed garage doors into a more open and collaborative kind of community.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: the impact of self-driving cars for cities that were designed and built around cars remains unknown. Phoenix being one of them where Google waymo self-driving taxis is being tested at scale today. This article explores the possible impacts and they are fascinating, going well beyond transportation.

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Where Driverless Cars Brake for Golf Carts: watch for #selfDrivingCars in gated communities

Where Driverless Cars Brake for Golf Carts: watch for #selfDrivingCars in gated communities | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

The start-up Voyage is testing its self-driving taxi service in a gated community of about 4,000 residents where the average age is 76. There's another benefit to testing in a retirement community: It's private property. That means Voyage doesn't have to share ride information with state regulators, freeing it from some bureaucracy. But testing in the community meant different obstacles, like insurers requiring Voyage to have double California's $5 million in coverage funds and to hand over all driving data. To reassure the retirement community, Voyage gave them as much equity as they give to a new hire. That aside, retirees have a lot to gain from self-driving cars. Losing the ability to drive often cuts folks off from the outside world, so it's interesting to see Voyage explore where other self-driving leaders haven't been yet.

Farid Mheir's insight:

WHY IT MATTERS: it makes perfect sense when you think about it: deploy self-driving cars on private property instead of on the open road. Here, the use case is a retirement community. Next I assume it may be on a vacation resort (think self-driving golf carts) or a remote wilderness fishing property (more self driving all-terrain trucks). And why are businesses with large properties not deploying self-driving vehicles? Oops not true they are: Codelco has 4 fully autonomous copper mines in Chile!. Take a few minutes to watch he Voyage experiment video: https://news.voyage.auto/voyages-first-self-driving-car-deployment-29c7688c6a1 or more on mining automation http://sco.lt/4qCRLV 

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Tesla brings self-driving hardware to its entire fleet: see the #video for a glimpse into the future of "driving"

Tesla brings self-driving hardware to its entire fleet: see the #video for a glimpse into the future of "driving" | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it

Tesla announced that beginning today, all the cars it builds will have the necessary hardware to drive completely on their own if the owner decides they want to enable the option. The full self-driving hardware suite will cost an additional $8,000.

Farid Mheir's insight:

1- First, look at the video at the end of the article.

 

2- Then, read the article to understand what Tesla is doing

 

3- Then, listen to this other video to understand that self-driving will be part of every new Tesla vehicle but will operate in "shadow mode".

https://www.wired.com/video/2016/10/nasa-s-pumpkin-carving-contest/ 

New Teslas will be self-driving and comparing their driving to what the human drivers did (and presumably learning from them). They will collect huge amounts of data, which will demonstrate that self-driving is safer than human driving.

 

4- Then, dive into this more complete description of the technology. 

https://www.wired.com/2016/10/teslas-self-driving-car-plan-seems-insane-just-might-work/ 

 

5- Then, look into this video of a self-driving delivery 18-wheeler that drove 200 miles without human intervention.

https://www.wired.com/2016/10/ubers-self-driving-truck-makes-first-delivery-50000-beers/

 

6- Realize this is not fiction but 2016 reality.

 

WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT

Self driving must find its way into every major corporation strategic plan. It will impact how retailers receive their products from factories and distribution centers. It will make eCommerce easier with lower cost delivery (which still accounts for 15 to 25% of the online total) and will enable same-day delivery. It will transform travel between large cities, and school bus for our kids. It will change the way ships carry their loads.

Self-driving will create a shockwave in human resources department and unions, which will fear the replacement of human drivers by machines. It will require appropriate communication, retraining, and investments to ensure a smooth transition into the new reality.

Don't worry this will not affect your 2017 bottom line. It won't even affect 2020's bottom line. So if you manage with a short term vision, life is good, stay the course, and forget everything I just said.

 

Others, call me!

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Rolls-Royce expects remote-controlled cargo ships by 2020

Rolls-Royce expects remote-controlled cargo ships by 2020 | WHY IT MATTERS: Digital Transformation | Scoop.it
Rolls-Royce isn't limiting its robotic transportation plans to luxury cars. The British transportation firm has outlined a strategy for deployin
Farid Mheir's insight:

Article that describes the efforts that Rolls Royces is making to develop autonomous ships in the near future. This appears to be a serious innovation supported by white paper and business case, although no prototypes have yet been built.

http://www.rolls-royce.com/~/media/Files/R/Rolls-Royce/documents/customers/marine/ship-intel/aawa-whitepaper-210616.pdf 

 

WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT

Although this remains an innovation project, it highlights how important digital transformation will be when applied to the real world, and not just email, websites and eCommerce. The bulk of our lives is spent in the real world and programmes such as this one and others will surely revolutionize transportation industry. And many others.

 

Companies that are serious about planning for the near term future (5 years out and +) should include these in their plans - which may require some leaders to think outside the box and look at areas they have considered outside the reach of computers and digital technology.

 

I wrote about Hyundai and Accenture working on connected smart ships in the past also : http://sco.lt/6xza9h

I also wrote about autonomous cars and trucks: http://www.scoop.it/t/digital-transformation-of-businesses/?tag=Automobile 

Robert Leech's curator insight, June 30, 2016 8:47 AM
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Abel Linares's curator insight, July 1, 2016 10:31 AM
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Curated by Farid Mheir
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